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Monday, 14 May 2012

  • Political and Economic Imponderables that Should Drive You Crazy

    Political and Economic Imponderables that Should Drive You Crazy.

     

    This is a list from Godfather Politics. that I thought was well worth the read.  Enjoy!

     

    1.   Only in America could politicians talk about the greed of the rich at a $40,000-a-plate campaign fund raising event.

     

    2.   Only in America could people claim that the government still discriminates against black Americans when we have a black President, a black Attorney General, and a federal workforce that is roughly 18% black when the black population is only 12%.

     

    3.   Only in America could we have had the two people most responsible for our tax code – Timothy Geithner, the head of the Treasury Department and Charles Rangel, who once ran the House Ways and Means Committee—turn out to be tax cheats who are in favor of higher taxes.

     

    4.   Only in America can we have terrorists kill people in the name of Allah and have the media primarily react by fretting that Muslims might be harmed by the backlash.

     

    5.   Only in America would we make people who want to legally become American citizens wait for years in their home countries and pay tens of thousands of dollars for the privilege while we discuss letting anyone who sneaks into the country illegally just become an American citizen.

     

    6.   Only in America could the people who believe in balancing the budget and sticking by the country’s Constitution be thought of as being “extremists.”

     

    7.   Only in America are you required to present a driver’s license or other form of ID to cash a check or buy alcohol, but not to vote.

     

    8.   Only in America could people demand the government investigate whether oil companies are gouging the public because the price of gas went up when the return on equity invested in a major U.S. oil company (Marathon Oil) is less than half of what a company that manufactures sports shoes and apparel (Nike)  makes

     

    9.   Only in America could the government collect more tax dollars from its people than any nation in recorded history, still spend a trillion dollars more that it has per year, and complain that it doesn’t have nearly enough money to get by.

     

    10.  Only in America could the rich people who pay 86% of all income taxes be accused of not paying their “fair share” by people who don’t pay any income taxes at all.  

Wednesday, 02 May 2012

  • When Diversity Trumps the Constitution

    When Diversity Trumps the Constitution.

     

    The New Oxford American dictionary defines diversity as “ the state of being diverse; showing a great deal of variety.”

    Nowadays the chances of being allowed a variety of opinions seems to be limited to those opinions that are judged to be politically correct.  This point was hammered home in the case of Crystal Dixon, a former associate vice president for human resources at the University of Toledo.

     

    In 2008, Ms Dixon saw a commentary in the Toledo Free Press that argued that homosexuals are like people who were discriminated against due to their skin color.  Ms. Dixon, an African-American, disagreed with the analogy and wrote her own comment piece stating;

     

    … I take great umbrage at the notion that those  choosing the homosexual life style are civil rights victims.

     

    Several days later, university president Lloyd Jacobs fired Ms Dixon since it was felt that her position of the subject of homosexuality would be a hindrance to her ability to perform her duties at the university.   According to court documents, President Jacobs testified: “If you make a statement contrary to the university’s value system, that’s not fine.” 

     

    President Jacobs could have a point if Ms Dixon had used her title when she penned her piece for the Toledo Free Press but she didn’t.  She simply signed her name at the end. Other University of Toledo administrators have used their titles and have commented on various political and social issues without any comment or penalty from the university.

     

    Following her dismissal, Ms. Dixon filed suit against the university.  Earlier this year,, a lower court affirmed her dismissal arguing that the university’s stated preference for “diversity” supersedes Ms. Dixon’s  First Amendment right to free speech.

     

    Not bloody well likely.

     

    Several things are wrong with this ruling that I can see.  First, Article VI of the Constitution states:

     

    The Constitution, and the Laws of the United Sates which shall be made in Pursuance thereof; and all Treaties made, or which shall be made under the Authority of the United States, shall be the supreme law of the Land

     

    In other words, the Ohio court got it backwards.  The rights in the Constitution override any rule, law or code of conduct enacted by the state, county, or an organization.

     

    Second, the Supreme Court in West Virginia State Board of Education v. Barnette  (1943) ruled;

     

    “no official, high or petty, can prescribe what shall be orthodox in politics, nationalism, religion, or other matters of opinion.”

     

    No official, no matter what position they hold, has the right to decide what is kosher for another person.  Ms. Dixon is entitled to express her personal opinion on a social issue without interference from the university simply because it doesn’t square with they consider to be contrary to the university’s value system.

     

    Finally, the First Amendment Right to Free Speech was made in order to allow ideas, opinions, and beliefs to flow freely out into the public arena and allow the public to examine, debate, and test their validity without interference from government officials be they federal, state, or local.   Although there are some restrictions on free speech (incitement, threats, false statements, for example), nowhere is the voicing of an opinion that is unpopular  with an organization which a person is a member of considered to be suitable cause for restricting a persons from stating said opinion.

     

    When a group or institution claims that it desires diversity but then attempts to silent any who dare go against the flow of what they deem is correct behavior, all they have done is put bigotry and intolerance in the pretty package of rhetoric. Manure is still manure even if it’s wrapped in tinsel and intolerance still intolerance even if you wrap it in ribbions of diversity.   .                                                    

     

Wednesday, 11 April 2012

  • Obama, The Supreme Court and Foot In Mouth Disease

    I was both amused and surprised when I read about President Obama’s comments last Monday concerning the Supreme Court and its use of judicial review.  President Obama stated:

    Ultimately, I’m confident that the Supreme Court will not take what would be an unprecedented, extraordinary step of overturning a law that was passed by a strong majority of a democratically elected Congress."

    And I—I’d just remind conservative commentators that for years what we’ve heard is the biggest problem on the bench was judicial activism or a lack of judicial restraint; that, uhh, an unelected, uhh, group of—of people would somehow overturn, uhh, a duly constituted  and—and   passed , uh, law.  Uh, well, uh, uh, is a good example.  Uhh, and I’m pretty confident that this, this court will recognize that, uh, and not take that step.”

     

    Deciding the constitutionality of a law has been part of the judicial branch since Marbury v Madison (1803).  Chief Justice John Marshall writing in the opinion of the court for this case stated:

     

    It is emphatically the province and duty of the Judicial Department to say what the law is.  …If, then the courts are to regard the Constitution, and the Constitution is superior to any ordinary act of the Legislative, the Constitution, and not such ordinary act, must govern the case to which they both apply.  

     

    It matters very little if the law being review was passed by “ a strong majority of a democratically elected Congress.”  (By the way, Obamacare passed the Senate by a 60-40 vote along party lines and a 219-212 vote in the House with 34 Democrats joining the Republican minority in voting against it.  Not what I would call a “strong majority”, but I suppose the President is entitled to his delusions.)  The only question the Supreme Court is interested in is how well the law squares with the Constitution.  

    In the Federalist Papers #78, Alexander Hamilton pointed out why unconstitutional acts by Congress are not real laws and why the Judicial Branch has the duty and right to rule against those acts.

    There is no position which depends on clearer principles, than that every act of a delegated authority, contrary to the tenor of the commission under which it is exercised, is void. No legislative act, therefore, contrary to the Constitution, can be valid. To deny this, would be to affirm, that the deputy is greater than his principal; that the servant is above his master; that the representatives of the people are superior to the people themselves; that men acting by virtue of powers, may do not only what their powers do not authorize, but what they forbid. . . .

    Nor does this conclusion by any means suppose a superiority of the judicial to the legislative power. It only supposes that the power of the people is superior to both; and that where the will of the legislature, declared in its statutes, stands in opposition to that of the people, declared in the Constitution, the judges ought to be governed by the latter rather than the former. They ought to regulate their decisions by the fundamental laws, rather than by those which are not fundamental.

     

    If the Supreme Court strikes down Obamacare because it exceeds the authority of Congress to regulate commerce according to the intent of the writers of that portion of the Constitution it is not due to judicial activism but simply the result of the justices doing their jobs .  This is why judicial review serves as a one of the checks and balances need to keep all three branches in line with the Constitution.  What I find both amusing and disturbing is that Mr. Obama, a man that has billed himself as “a constitutional law professor” for years, appears to be ignorant of judicial review and its function in maintaining balance in our system of government..  On April 3, Dean Singleton, the chairman of the Associated Press, pointed out to the President at a Washington D. C. luncheon that the Supreme Court has been over turning laws passed by Congress since its beginning.  Mr. Obama replied:

    Well, first of all, let me be very specific. We have not seen a Court overturn a law that was passed by Congress on a economic issue, like health care, that I think most people would clearly consider commerce — a law like that has not been overturned at least since Lochner.  Right? So we're going back to the '30s, pre New Deal.

    There are several small errors with the President’s comments. (By small I mean only the size of an elephant)  First Lochner was a 1905 suit that involved a New York State law and not a law passed by Congress. Lochner was a landmark Supreme Court case because it set a precedent that the right to contract was implicit in the due process clause of the 14th Amendment.  This would last until West Coast Hotel vs Parrish (1937).  As a constitutional “professor”,  Mr. Obama should have known this.  Second, the Supreme Court has overturned at least two federal laws based on the Commerce Clause within the last 20 years.  They were The United States v. Lopez (1995) and The United States v. Morrison (2000).  Lopez and Morrison were landmark cases because they were the first Supreme Court cases in nearly 50 years that set limits to the authority of Congress to regulate commerce.  Since Mr. Obama was a constitutional lecturer at the time when both decisions were rendered, I would expect him to have at least been aware of these cases since they were significant in his area of expertise.     

    Why did the President make these statements last week?  I can come up with 3 possibilities.  First, he is ignorant of the Constitution and constitutional law and his comments reflect that ignorance.  Second, he suffers from foot in mouth disease and simply made two huge gaffes or third, he knowingly misrepresented judicial review and the history of the Court’s use of it to further some goal. 

     

Thursday, 08 September 2011

  • How 3.5 million lost Jobs Equals 11 Million Jobs Saved or Created

    How 3.5 Million Lost Jobs Equals 11 Million Jobs Saved or Created.

    Over the past year, I’ve heard a lot from the President or other White House officials about how incredibly successful the job stimulus was at “saving or creating jobs”  In July, 2010, President Obama told host Elizabeth Hasselbeck of The View:

    “There was a report that came out by a couple of economists just today, including John McCain’s former economist, that said that had we not taken the steps that we had took, you would have actually seen millions of more jobs lost and we would be in a Great Depression.”

     

    Mr. Obama made a similar statement on The CBS on August 1, 2010:

    “John McCain’s economist from the campaign, estimated that if we hadn’t made the decisions we’ve made, you would have had an additional eight million people unemployed, and we would be in a Great Depression.”

    An even more spectacular number of jobs “saved or created” was made about 2  weeks ago by the President’s Economic Advisor Gene Sperling in that the real number was actually 11 million.  Mr Sperling stated:

    The president inherited an economy that we now know was falling at almost 9 percent per year — 8.9 percent — of the fourth quarter of 2008. Independent analysts found that the Recovery Act that the president put forward meant a difference of about 8 million jobs in 2010 and up to 3 million jobs in the second quarter of this year. What the president was fighting for, working his heart out everyday this summer was to get a long-term plan that would give long-term fiscal certainty

    8 million? 11 million? Where are these figures coming from?  For the White House to say that these jobs were “saved or created” they would need to show that these jobs were directly saved or created because of stimulus funds.  I haven’t found anything at Recovery.gov that comes close to these numbers.  So, what is the source of these claims that millions of jobs were saved?  The answer is multipliers

    When the White House economic advisors make predictions, they use models based on Keynesian theory.  Generally In Keynesian models, it is assumed tat for each dollar spent by the government will grow the economy by a predetermine amount based on a variety of factors and this amount is referred to as a multiplier.  For example, one model might determine that every dollar spent by the government on stimulus will cause the GDP to grow by $1.87.  As GDP grows, unemployment can be expected to decrease at a predetermined ratio.  By changing the multipliers, you can make any economy look rosy and have the authority of a group of economist to back it up. 

     In January of 2010, the White House Council of Economic Advisors issued a report which stated that 2 million jobs had been saved or created because the government had spent some $265 billion in stimulus money from January, 2009 to January, 2010.  However, the actually data shows a 3.5 million job loss for that time period.  Did the CEA admit they had grossly overestimated the impact that stimulus spending would have on unemployment levels?  No, they played the “things would have been so much worse if we hadn’t spent the money.” card.  Since their model predicted that 2 million jobs would be saved or created, 2 million jobs must have been created or saved so we would have lost 5.5 million jobs if we hadn’t spent the $265 billion dollars.  This is a safe argument because you can’t disprove it.  Nobody really knows what would have happened to the economy if there had been no stimulus or bailout infusions from the government.  Extrapolating the CEA’s estimates out for $1 trillion dollars in stimulus spending we would expect 8 million jobs to be saved or created. Hard data doesn’t support it, but it appears that the White House will continue to pretend that the model mirrors reality and sing praises about how successful the stimulus was while ignoring the reality that 3.3 million jobs have disappeared from the economy and aren’t going to be coming back anytime soon. 

    I expect that the White House will continue to click its ruby economic models together and beam at how well the economy has been saved on Thursday night when President Obama gives his jobs speech.  Just don’t forget to pay attention to the men making the models behind the curtain.

Wednesday, 31 August 2011

  • What I Expect in the Presdent's Speech Next Week

    What I Expect In The President’s Speech Next Week

     

    President Obama will be making yet another speech about how he plans to cure the unemployment problem in the US.  This is the seventh pivot- towards- jobs speech Mr. Obama has made since coming into office and I expect that it will share many of the same characteristics as the previous six mainly because the President is stuck in a rut on this particular issue.  Although the words might change from speech to speech, the agenda remains roughly the same.

    First I expect the blame game to surface somewhere.  Mr. Obama has seldom given a jobs speech without mentioning how he inherited a bad economy, been roadblock by “some in Congress”, or had “a string of bad luck…a bunch of things taking place over the last six months that were not within our control.”  His polices would work if not for those barriers and unexpected events, so it’s not his fault.  Granted the President can’t control everything that affects the economy but after a $780 billion stimulus, that he promised would save or create 3.5 million new jobs by the end of 2010 fell flat, I would think the President would at least man up that his ideas for stimulating the economy failed and start looking for some new ones.

    The President will most likely throw in public works and green energy/jobs into his speech. These have been constant themes since last winter at the State of the Union Address and I can’t imagine the President dropping them out of the mix even if public works are at best, temporary fixes and green jobs have failed to have any major effect on lowering the unemployment level.

     With the many “investments” the President will be wanting to make, there will be the need to raise taxes, “balance approach”, “fair share” or whatever the White House has decided to call the act of taking more money from citizens so I expect the President to play the class warfare card and pitch his often heard limes of the need for the evil rich to part with more of their money so the government can spread it around.

    Finally, I expect the President to sprinkle in some “Americans are hardworking, extraordinary people.” comments in order to give the audience the nice, warm, fuzzy feeling that the President believes that the citizens of the US can overcome any difficulty with their hard work and ingenuity.  Given the increase in the government’s increased encroachment into my life as to my purchases in health insurance, what kind of light bulb I can buy, and how I run my business, I can’t help but feel that government officials really feel that their citizens are a bunch of toe sucking morons that need to have a caretaker.   

    I hope that I’m wrong and that Mr. Obama will actually come to the podium with some fresh, new ideas about getting people back to work and the economy out of the toilet.  But ruts are hard to climb out of so I’m ready for more of the same old rhetoric..

jeremiahstears

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